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Report on Security of Natural Gas Supply in the European Part of the Unece Area

III. FACTS, FIGURES AND FUTURE

6. Economic availability

Oil linked pricing - in the gas market a synonym for competitive pricing - has proved to be a very successful principle for constant market development, reasonable pricing, adequate gas production and the timely development of the natural gas infrastructure.

By and large it is generally understood that long term contracts with oil linked pricing will remain the key reference for gas prices. This should provide producers and investors in production and infrastructure with adequate securities to develop and implement new projects. However it will have to allow for increasing gas-to-gas competition and reflect to a greater extent seasonal variations in prices and the greater significance of spot markets.

Using strategic stocks to influence price developments, as has recently been advocated by the European Commission, is an attempt to interfere with market developments and would not yield any tangible results. Past experience, for example in the United States, shows that the effect on world market price developments is minimal and not sustainable. In addition, gas storage capacity is being expanded in line with the development of consumption. In view of the differences between oil and gas, there is no reason for and also no sensible way of stockpiling gas reserves.

And who would bear the huge cost of stockpiling? With gas supply security apparently being handled to full satisfaction at national levels, contingency planning at supranational level in any form whatsoever is not deemed necessary. On the contrary, it would be counterproductive as it would inevitably burden a well-functioning and efficient industry with bureaucracy and political interference.