The above figure gives an overview of the gas prices in eurocents per m3 in the United States (month ahead prices), United Kingdom (month ahead prices) and continental
European countries (based on oil related continental prices). The prices are based on realisations until May 2005 and futures from June 2005 until December 2006.
The figure shows that:
Page 14 of 35
- Prices in the United Kingdom and the United States are more volatile than
oil related continental prices; - The average Henry Hub price (United States)
is 10% higher than the gas prices in Western Europe (including the United
Kingdom), during the peaks the differences are often much higher;
- The average oil related continental price is about equal to the average NBP
(National Balancing Point) price, with the exception of the winter period
2005/2006.
Nowadays in Europe gas is being imported and distributed
by companies that are increasingly competing with each other on different
national markets. These
national gas markets are being integrated into one European gas market.
The increase in competition and the integration of the national markets is
enlarged
by newly founded gas companies and large end-consumers which are able to
directly source their gas supply from producers, making use of TPA (Third
Party Access).
The number of gas companies (besides specialised
trading companies) per country are the lowest in the Baltic States (one transmission
and one distribution
company). The countries with the highest number of gas companies are Italy
(2 companies for transmission and 583 for distribution) and Germany (15
companies for transmission and 705 for distribution).
The expected change in the number of gas companies
in EU countries until 2010 is very diverse. In some countries a significant
increase expected because
of unbundling as well as the start of new companies in Austria, Finland,
France, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Spain. In other
countries
a consolidation process is much more likely, for instance in Belgium, Italy,
the Russian Federation and Ukraine.
Page 15 of 35 .
In most remaining countries, the number of active
gas companies is expected not to change very much during the coming 5 years,
like in France, the Netherlands, Norway, Switzerland, Ukraine and in the United
Kingdom.
In the United Kingdom, one of the largest gas markets
in the UNECE region, the gas industry is privatised and unbundled on the level
of ownership.The infrastructure is now owned by fully independent
companies.
In the Netherlands, the high pressure and medium
pressure gas network is in public hands, effectively resulting in ownership
unbundling. In general,
together with the several “unbundling options” there is a tendency for bigger
companies to expand their position in the gas chain. Producer companies are
moving into midstream and downstream activities. Midstream and downstream
companies are getting involved in upstream activities.
Companies also tend to internationalise their scope
of activities.
Lithuania, Poland, Hungary, Romania and Ukraine are developing towards a
largely or even fully privately owned gas industry, although the upstream
activities are expected to stay out of this.
During the last decade, significant privatisation
of the oil and gas industry has taken place in Russia. This trend is expected
to be maintained. At the
same time formal limitations are present which could limit privatised companies
in their activities by law or by regulation.